MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 4

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Monday, May 4, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 12 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

5:40 PM ET

Mets (5-10) visit the Rockies (7-10). Probable starters: H. Brazobán (1.73) for Mets, T. Sugano (4.80) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 73°F.

Pitchers

NYMH. Brazobán (1.73)

COLT. Sugano (4.80)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · COL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers

6:10 PM ET

Red Sox (7-10) visit the Tigers (10-8). Probable starters: P. Tolle (3.39) for Red Sox, T. Holton (5.27) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 76°F.

Pitchers

BOSP. Tolle (3.39)

DETT. Holton (5.27)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS · DET

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

7:10 PM ET

Reds (10-7) visit the Cubs (14-3). Probable starters: C. Petty (4.76) for Reds, E. Cabrera (5.21) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 15 mph wind.

Pitchers

CINC. Petty (4.76)

CHCE. Cabrera (5.21)

FanDuel lines

MLCIN · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners

9:40 PM ET

Braves (14-3) visit the Mariners (8-9). Probable starters: J. Ritchie (4.54) for Braves, L. Gilbert (3.19) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

ATLJ. Ritchie (4.54)

SEAL. Gilbert (3.19)

FanDuel lines

MLATL · SEA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.