MLB PICKS
ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Monday, May 4, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 12 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.
Mets (12-22) visit the Rockies (14-21). Probable starters: H. Brazobán (1.73) for Mets, T. Sugano (4.96) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 73°F.
Pitchers
NYMH. Brazobán (1.73)
COLT. Sugano (4.96)
FanDuel lines
MLNYM — · COL —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Red Sox (13-21) visit the Tigers (18-17). Probable starters: P. Tolle (3.09) for Red Sox, T. Holton (5.27) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 76°F.
Pitchers
BOSP. Tolle (3.09)
DETT. Holton (5.27)
FanDuel lines
MLBOS — · DET —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Blue Jays (16-18) visit the Rays (21-12). Probable starters: E. Lauer (4.78) for Blue Jays, N. Martinez (2.93) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
TORE. Lauer (4.78)
TBN. Martinez (2.93)
FanDuel lines
MLTOR — · TB —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Phillies (14-20) visit the Marlins (16-18). Probable starters: A. Nola (5.03) for Phillies, J. Junk (4.21) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
PHIA. Nola (5.03)
MIAJ. Junk (4.21)
FanDuel lines
MLPHI — · MIA —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Orioles (15-19) visit the Yankees (23-11). Probable starters: S. Baz (4.04) for Orioles, C. Schlittler (2.16) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 69°F.
Pitchers
BALS. Baz (4.04)
NYYC. Schlittler (2.16)
FanDuel lines
MLBAL — · NYY —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Reds (20-14) visit the Cubs (22-12). Probable starters: C. Petty (4.50) for Reds, E. Cabrera (5.10) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 15 mph wind.
Pitchers
CINC. Petty (4.50)
CHCE. Cabrera (5.10)
FanDuel lines
MLCIN — · CHC —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Guardians (18-17) visit the Royals (15-19). Probable starters: T. Bibee (3.97) for Guardians, M. Wacha (3.49) for Royals. Weather at first pitch: 81°F.
Pitchers
CLET. Bibee (3.97)
KCM. Wacha (3.49)
FanDuel lines
MLCLE — · KC —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Brewers (18-15) visit the Cardinals (20-14). Probable starters: C. Patrick (2.57) for Brewers, K. Leahy (3.13) for Cardinals. Weather at first pitch: 77°F.
Pitchers
MILC. Patrick (2.57)
STLK. Leahy (3.13)
FanDuel lines
MLMIL — · STL —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Dodgers (21-13) visit the Astros (14-21). Probable starters: Y. Yamamoto (2.61) for Dodgers, S. Okert (4.20) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
LADY. Yamamoto (2.61)
HOUS. Okert (4.20)
FanDuel lines
MLLAD — · HOU —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
White Sox (16-18) visit the Angels (13-22). Probable starters: D. Martin (4.17) for White Sox, J. Soriano (3.43) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 63°F, 9 mph wind.
Pitchers
CWSD. Martin (4.17)
LAAJ. Soriano (3.43)
FanDuel lines
MLCWS — · LAA —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Braves (25-10) visit the Mariners (16-19). Probable starters: J. Ritchie (4.39) for Braves, L. Gilbert (3.36) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
ATLJ. Ritchie (4.39)
SEAL. Gilbert (3.36)
FanDuel lines
MLATL — · SEA —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Padres (20-13) visit the Giants (13-21). Probable starters: R. Vásquez (4.02) for Padres, T. McDonald (5.02) for Giants. Weather at first pitch: 58°F.
Pitchers
SDR. Vásquez (4.02)
SFT. McDonald (5.02)
FanDuel lines
MLSD — · SF —
RL—
Total—
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.
Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.
Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.