MLB PICKS
ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Monday, May 4, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 12 games with 5 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.
Mets (5-10) visit the Rockies (7-10). Probable starters: H. Brazobán (1.73) for Mets, T. Sugano (3.86) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 73°F.
Pitchers
NYMH. Brazobán (1.73)
COLT. Sugano (3.86)
FanDuel lines
MLNYM -172 · COL +144
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 10.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Red Sox (7-10) visit the Tigers (10-8). Probable starters: P. Tolle (2.27) for Red Sox, T. Holton (5.27) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 76°F.
Pitchers
BOSP. Tolle (2.27)
DETT. Holton (5.27)
FanDuel lines
MLBOS +152 · DET -180
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Blue Jays (9-9) visit the Rays (12-5). Probable starters: E. Lauer (6.69) for Blue Jays, N. Martinez (1.51) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
TORE. Lauer (6.69)
TBN. Martinez (1.51)
FanDuel lines
MLTOR -102 · TB -116
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 7
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Phillies (5-11) visit the Marlins (7-9). Probable starters: A. Nola (6.04) for Phillies, J. Junk (4.81) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
PHIA. Nola (6.04)
MIAJ. Junk (4.81)
FanDuel lines
MLPHI -110 · MIA -106
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Orioles (6-10) visit the Yankees (14-3). Probable starters: S. Baz (4.87) for Orioles, C. Schlittler (1.50) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 69°F.
Pitchers
BALS. Baz (4.87)
NYYC. Schlittler (1.50)
FanDuel lines
MLBAL +172 · NYY -205
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Reds (10-7) visit the Cubs (14-3). Probable starters: C. Petty (4.76) for Reds, E. Cabrera (4.06) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 78°F.
Pitchers
CINC. Petty (4.76)
CHCE. Cabrera (4.06)
FanDuel lines
MLCIN +132 · CHC -156
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
MEDHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Guardians (8-9) visit the Royals (8-9). Probable starters: T. Bibee (4.57) for Guardians, M. Wacha (2.69) for Royals. Weather at first pitch: 81°F.
Pitchers
CLET. Bibee (4.57)
KCM. Wacha (2.69)
FanDuel lines
MLCLE -116 · KC -102
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Brewers (10-7) visit the Cardinals (11-6). Probable starters: C. Patrick (2.57) for Brewers, K. Leahy (4.44) for Cardinals. Weather at first pitch: 77°F.
Pitchers
MILC. Patrick (2.57)
STLK. Leahy (4.44)
FanDuel lines
MLMIL -122 · STL +104
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Dodgers (8-9) visit the Astros (6-10). Probable starters: Y. Yamamoto (3.32) for Dodgers, S. Okert (4.20) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
LADY. Yamamoto (3.32)
HOUS. Okert (4.20)
FanDuel lines
MLLAD -198 · HOU +166
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
White Sox (10-7) visit the Angels (4-13). Probable starters: D. Martin (2.00) for White Sox, J. Soriano (2.44) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 63°F.
Pitchers
CWSD. Martin (2.00)
LAAJ. Soriano (2.44)
FanDuel lines
MLCWS +134 · LAA -158
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Braves (14-3) visit the Mariners (8-9). Probable starters: J. Ritchie (3.32) for Braves, L. Gilbert (4.04) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
ATLJ. Ritchie (3.32)
SEAL. Gilbert (4.04)
FanDuel lines
MLATL +124 · SEA -146
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Padres (9-7) visit the Giants (7-9). Probable starters: R. Vásquez (2.96) for Padres, T. McDonald (4.76) for Giants. Weather at first pitch: 58°F.
Pitchers
SDR. Vásquez (2.96)
SFT. McDonald (4.76)
FanDuel lines
MLSD -136 · SF +116
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.
Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.
Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.