MLB PICKS / MONDAY, MAY 4, 2026

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

New York Mets (5-10) visit the Colorado Rockies (7-10) at 5:40 PM ET. Probable starters: H. Brazobán (1.73) for the Mets, T. Sugano (3.86) for the Rockies. First-pitch weather: 73°F. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

New York Mets

Record
5-10
L10
5-5
RPG
3.82
OPS
.642

Probable starter

H. Brazobán (1.73)

Home

Colorado Rockies

Record
7-10
L10
4-6
RPG
4.02
OPS
.683

Probable starter

T. Sugano (3.86)

Matchup context

5:40 PM ET

Weather
73°F
Wind
Rain
0%
Diff
0.3

Projected score

NYM 5.8 — 5.0 COL

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

NYM-172

COL+144

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

NYM-1.5 (+108)

COL+1.5 (-130)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O10.5 (-122)

U10.5 (+100)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.