MLB PICKS / MONDAY, MAY 4, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox (7-10) visit the Detroit Tigers (10-8) at 6:10 PM ET. Probable starters: P. Tolle (2.27) for the Red Sox, T. Holton (5.27) for the Tigers. First-pitch weather: 76°F. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.
Away
Boston Red Sox
- Record
- 7-10
- L10
- 4-6
- RPG
- 3.80
- OPS
- .689
Probable starter
P. Tolle (2.27)
Home
Detroit Tigers
- Record
- 10-8
- L10
- 5-5
- RPG
- 3.81
- OPS
- .682
Probable starter
T. Holton (5.27)
Matchup context
6:10 PM ET
- Weather
- 76°F
- Wind
- —
- Rain
- 0%
- Diff
- -0.1
Projected score
BOS 3.6 — 3.8 DET
Lines & ParlayLab picks
How ParlayLab grades this matchup
ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.
Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.