MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 3

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Friday, July 3, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 13 games with 1 HIGH-confidence pick — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

4:05 PM ET

Cardinals (33-29) visit the Cubs (36-28). Probable starters: A. Pallante (3.60) for Cardinals, D. Peterson (6.75) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLA. Pallante (3.60)

CHCD. Peterson (6.75)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL +108 · CHC -126

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 10.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

7:05 PM ET

Twins (28-37) visit the Yankees (36-29). Probable starters: M. Paredes (4.60) for Twins, G. Cole (4.04) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 19 mph wind.

Pitchers

MINM. Paredes (4.60)

NYYG. Cole (4.04)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN +184 · NYY -220

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds

7:10 PM ET

Orioles (29-36) visit the Reds (26-36). Probable starters: T. Rogers (4.70) for Orioles, B. Singer (5.03) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 97°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

BALT. Rogers (4.70)

CINB. Singer (5.03)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL -124 · CIN +106

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Mets (26-38) visit the Braves (37-25). Probable starters: C. Scott (3.49) for Mets, G. Holmes (3.83) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 2 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYMC. Scott (3.49)

ATLG. Holmes (3.83)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM -108 · ATL -108

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros

8:15 PM ET

Rays (39-24) visit the Astros (32-33). Probable starters: N. Martinez (2.61) for Rays, S. Arrighetti (3.81) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TBN. Martinez (2.61)

HOUS. Arrighetti (3.81)

FanDuel lines

MLTB -108 · HOU -108

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

9:38 PM ET

Red Sox (29-36) visit the Angels (23-38). Probable starters: J. Bennett (3.10) for Red Sox, R. Detmers (4.13) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

BOSJ. Bennett (3.10)

LAAR. Detmers (4.13)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS -158 · LAA +134

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Athletics

9:40 PM ET

Marlins (36-28) visit the Athletics (30-33). Probable starters: T. Phillips (3.28) for Marlins, J. Perkins (6.87) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAT. Phillips (3.28)

ATHJ. Perkins (6.87)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA -120 · ATH +102

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at AZ

9:45 PM ET

Brewers (42-22) visit the AZ (30-31). Probable starters: K. Harrison (2.82) for Brewers, J. Cabrera (4.73) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

MILK. Harrison (2.82)

AZJ. Cabrera (4.73)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL -142 · AZ +120

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners

10:10 PM ET

Blue Jays (33-35) visit the Mariners (33-31). Probable starters: D. Cease (2.56) for Blue Jays, L. Castillo (4.79) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TORD. Cease (2.56)

SEAL. Castillo (4.79)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR -134 · SEA +114

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 7

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.