MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 3

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Friday, July 3, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 13 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

4:05 PM ET

Cardinals (45-39) visit the Cubs (49-38). Probable starters: A. Pallante (3.46) for Cardinals, D. Peterson (5.17) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLA. Pallante (3.46)

CHCD. Peterson (5.17)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

7:05 PM ET

Twins (42-46) visit the Yankees (48-38). Probable starters: M. Paredes (4.72) for Twins, G. Cole (3.19) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 19 mph wind.

Pitchers

MINM. Paredes (4.72)

NYYG. Cole (3.19)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN · NYY

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds

7:10 PM ET

Orioles (40-48) visit the Reds (40-46). Probable starters: T. Rogers (4.14) for Orioles, B. Singer (4.72) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 97°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

BALT. Rogers (4.14)

CINB. Singer (4.72)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL · CIN

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Mets (36-51) visit the Braves (50-35). Probable starters: C. Scott (3.73) for Mets, G. Holmes (3.64) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 2 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYMC. Scott (3.73)

ATLG. Holmes (3.64)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros

8:15 PM ET

Rays (51-33) visit the Astros (43-46). Probable starters: N. Martinez (2.93) for Rays, S. Arrighetti (4.73) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TBN. Martinez (2.93)

HOUS. Arrighetti (4.73)

FanDuel lines

MLTB · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Athletics

9:40 PM ET

Marlins (46-42) visit the Athletics (41-46). Probable starters: T. Phillips (3.59) for Marlins, J. Perkins (6.68) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAT. Phillips (3.59)

ATHJ. Perkins (6.68)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA · ATH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at AZ

9:45 PM ET

Brewers (53-32) visit the AZ (43-43). Probable starters: K. Harrison (2.84) for Brewers, J. Cabrera (5.60) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

MILK. Harrison (2.84)

AZJ. Cabrera (5.60)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · AZ

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.