MLB PICKS / FRIDAY, JULY 3, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals (33-29) visit the Chicago Cubs (36-28) at 4:05 PM ET. Probable starters: A. Pallante (3.83) for the Cardinals, D. Peterson (5.86) for the Cubs. First-pitch weather: 77°F, 7 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

St. Louis Cardinals

Record
33-29
L10
4-6
RPG
4.51
OPS
.716

Probable starter

A. Pallante (3.83)

13 prior starts vs this opponent · 5.44 ERA

Home

Chicago Cubs

Record
36-28
L10
8-2
RPG
5.15
OPS
.754

Probable starter

D. Peterson (5.86)

2 prior starts vs this opponent · 9.76 ERA

Matchup context

4:05 PM ET

Weather
77°F
Wind
7 mph
Rain
0%
Diff
1.3

Projected score

STL 5.9 — 5.9 CHC

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

STL+108

CHC-126

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

STL+1.5 (-182)

CHC-1.5 (+150)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O10.5 (-122)

U10.5 (+100)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.