MLB PICKS / FRIDAY, JULY 3, 2026

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

Minnesota Twins (28-37) visit the New York Yankees (36-29) at 7:05 PM ET. Probable starters: M. Paredes (4.26) for the Twins, G. Cole (4.06) for the Yankees. First-pitch weather: 101°F, 10 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

Minnesota Twins

Record
28-37
L10
5-5
RPG
4.88
OPS
.733

Probable starter

M. Paredes (4.26)

Home

New York Yankees

Record
36-29
L10
2-8
RPG
4.85
OPS
.740

Probable starter

G. Cole (4.06)

5 prior starts vs this opponent · 3.07 ERA

Matchup context

7:05 PM ET

Weather
101°F
Wind
10 mph
Rain
0%
Diff
2.0

Projected score

MIN 4.5 — 6.9 NYY

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

MIN+184

NYY-220

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

MIN+1.5 (-111)

NYY-1.5 (-108)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O9.5 (-122)

U9.5 (+100)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.