MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 17

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, May 17, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

12:15 PM ET

Marlins (12-14) visit the Rays (19-8). Probable starters: E. Pérez (3.84) for Marlins, D. Rasmussen (2.78) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

MIAE. Pérez (3.84)

TBD. Rasmussen (2.78)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA · TB

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

1:35 PM ET

Red Sox (13-14) visit the Braves (18-8). Probable starters: B. Bello (5.63) for Red Sox, G. Holmes (3.83) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 88°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSB. Bello (5.63)

ATLG. Holmes (3.83)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians

1:40 PM ET

Reds (14-13) visit the Guardians (14-13). Probable starters: B. Singer (5.03) for Reds, G. Williams (3.89) for Guardians. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 10 mph wind.

Pitchers

CINB. Singer (5.03)

CLEG. Williams (3.89)

FanDuel lines

MLCIN · CLE

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

1:40 PM ET

Blue Jays (13-15) visit the Tigers (12-16). Probable starters: K. Gausman (4.32) for Blue Jays, J. Flaherty (4.60) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 84°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

TORK. Gausman (4.32)

DETJ. Flaherty (4.60)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR · DET

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at New York Mets

1:40 PM ET

Yankees (17-10) visit the Mets (11-14). Probable starters: E. Rodríguez (4.15) for Yankees, F. Peralta (4.68) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 88°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYYE. Rodríguez (4.15)

NYMF. Peralta (4.68)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY · NYM

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

2:10 PM ET

Rangers (11-15) visit the Astros (10-16). Probable starters: N. Eovaldi (4.02) for Rangers, P. Lambert (3.26) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TEXN. Eovaldi (4.02)

HOUP. Lambert (3.26)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins

2:10 PM ET

Brewers (17-9) visit the Twins (8-19). Probable starters: R. Gasser (4.15) for Brewers, B. Ober (4.59) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 61°F, 13 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILR. Gasser (4.15)

MINB. Ober (4.59)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · MIN

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ET

AZ (10-14) visit the Rockies (11-16). Probable starters: M. Soroka (3.11) for AZ, M. Lorenzen (6.46) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

AZM. Soroka (3.11)

COLM. Lorenzen (6.46)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ · COL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

San Francisco Giants at Athletics

4:05 PM ET

Giants (12-14) visit the Athletics (14-13). Probable starters: A. Houser (5.73) for Giants, J. Springs (5.79) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

SFA. Houser (5.73)

ATHJ. Springs (5.79)

FanDuel lines

MLSF · ATH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.