MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 17

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, May 17, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games with 7 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

12:15 PM ET

Marlins (12-14) visit the Rays (19-8). Probable starters: E. Pérez (4.91) for Marlins, D. Rasmussen (2.78) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

MIAE. Pérez (4.91)

TBD. Rasmussen (2.78)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA +122 · TB -144

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

1:35 PM ET

Red Sox (13-14) visit the Braves (18-8). Probable starters: B. Bello (6.46) for Red Sox, G. Holmes (3.78) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 88°F.

Pitchers

BOSB. Bello (6.46)

ATLG. Holmes (3.78)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS +124 · ATL -146

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

1:40 PM ET

Blue Jays (13-15) visit the Tigers (12-16). Probable starters: K. Gausman (3.23) for Blue Jays, J. Flaherty (5.81) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 84°F.

Pitchers

TORK. Gausman (3.23)

DETJ. Flaherty (5.81)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR -118 · DET +100

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at New York Mets

1:40 PM ET

Yankees (17-10) visit the Mets (11-14). Probable starters: E. Rodríguez (5.19) for Yankees, F. Peralta (3.52) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 88°F.

Pitchers

NYYE. Rodríguez (5.19)

NYMF. Peralta (3.52)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY +102 · NYM -120

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

2:10 PM ET

Rangers (11-15) visit the Astros (10-16). Probable starters: N. Eovaldi (3.65) for Rangers, P. Lambert (3.79) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TEXN. Eovaldi (3.65)

HOUP. Lambert (3.79)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX -124 · HOU +106

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ET

Cubs (20-7) visit the White Sox (16-10). Probable starters: C. Rea (4.83) for Cubs, E. Fedde (5.47) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

CHCC. Rea (4.83)

CWSE. Fedde (5.47)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC -132 · CWS +112

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ET

AZ (10-14) visit the Rockies (11-16). Probable starters: M. Soroka (3.27) for AZ, M. Lorenzen (7.21) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

AZM. Soroka (3.27)

COLM. Lorenzen (7.21)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ -144 · COL +122

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

San Francisco Giants at Athletics

4:05 PM ET

Giants (12-14) visit the Athletics (14-13). Probable starters: A. Houser (5.30) for Giants, J. Springs (4.11) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

SFA. Houser (5.30)

ATHJ. Springs (4.11)

FanDuel lines

MLSF +124 · ATH -146

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.