MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 16

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Saturday, May 16, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

1:10 PM ET

Blue Jays (19-25) visit the Tigers (20-25). Probable starters: M. Fluharty (3.46) for Blue Jays, C. Mize (3.44) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

TORM. Fluharty (3.46)

DETC. Mize (3.44)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR · DET

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ET

AZ (21-22) visit the Rockies (17-28). Probable starters: E. Rodriguez (2.61) for AZ, T. Sugano (4.96) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

AZE. Rodriguez (2.61)

COLT. Sugano (4.96)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ · COL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

4:10 PM ET

Marlins (20-25) visit the Rays (29-14). Probable starters: S. Alcantara (3.38) for Marlins, N. Martinez (2.93) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

MIAS. Alcantara (3.38)

TBN. Martinez (2.93)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA · TB

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

7:10 PM ET

Rangers (21-23) visit the Astros (18-28). Probable starters: J. deGrom (4.21) for Rangers, K. Teng (4.03) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TEXJ. deGrom (4.21)

HOUK. Teng (4.03)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

7:10 PM ET

Cubs (29-16) visit the White Sox (22-22). Probable starters: J. Taillon (5.96) for Cubs, D. Martin (4.17) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

CHCJ. Taillon (5.96)

CWSD. Martin (4.17)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC · CWS

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins

7:10 PM ET

Brewers (25-17) visit the Twins (20-25). Probable starters: L. Henderson (2.60) for Brewers, C. Prielipp (5.57) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILL. Henderson (2.60)

MINC. Prielipp (5.57)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · MIN

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Red Sox (18-26) visit the Braves (31-14). Probable starters: P. Tolle (3.09) for Red Sox, B. Elder (3.95) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 84°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSP. Tolle (3.09)

ATLB. Elder (3.95)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at New York Mets

7:15 PM ET

Yankees (28-17) visit the Mets (18-26). Probable starters: C. Rodón (3.15) for Yankees, H. Brazobán (1.73) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 10 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYYC. Rodón (3.15)

NYMH. Brazobán (1.73)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY · NYM

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

San Francisco Giants at Athletics

9:40 PM ET

Giants (18-27) visit the Athletics (23-21). Probable starters: T. McDonald (5.02) for Giants, L. Severino (4.23) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 58°F, 21 mph wind.

Pitchers

SFT. McDonald (5.02)

ATHL. Severino (4.23)

FanDuel lines

MLSF · ATH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.