MLB PICKS / SUNDAY, MAY 17, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies (13-14) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-14) at 1:35 PM ET. Probable starters: Z. Wheeler (1.67) for the Phillies, P. Skenes (3.00) for the Pirates. First-pitch weather: 84°F. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

Philadelphia Phillies

Record
13-14
L10
7-3
RPG
3.98
OPS
.682

Probable starter

Z. Wheeler (1.67)

5 prior starts vs this opponent · 2.55 ERA

Home

Pittsburgh Pirates

Record
13-14
L10
5-5
RPG
4.86
OPS
.723

Probable starter

P. Skenes (3.00)

2 prior starts vs this opponent · 0.59 ERA

Matchup context

1:35 PM ET

Weather
84°F
Wind
Rain
0%
Diff
-1.1

Projected score

PHI 2.8 — 3.1 PIT

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

PHI+110

PIT-130

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

PHI+1.5 (-205)

PIT-1.5 (+168)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O7 (-122)

U7 (+100)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.