MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 11

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Monday, May 11, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 6 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

6:35 PM ET

Yankees (26-15) visit the Orioles (18-23). Probable starters: R. Weathers (3.56) for Yankees, B. Young (3.50) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 59°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYYR. Weathers (3.56)

BALB. Young (3.50)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY · BAL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

7:07 PM ET

Rays (26-13) visit the Blue Jays (18-22). Probable starters: D. Rasmussen (2.95) for Rays, K. Gausman (4.37) for Blue Jays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TBD. Rasmussen (2.95)

TORK. Gausman (4.37)

FanDuel lines

MLTB · TOR

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Texas Rangers

8:05 PM ET

AZ (19-20) visit the Rangers (19-21). Probable starters: M. Soroka (2.93) for AZ, J. Junis (2.72) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

AZM. Soroka (2.93)

TEXJ. Junis (2.72)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ · TEX

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

8:10 PM ET

Mariners (19-22) visit the Astros (16-25). Probable starters: G. Kirby (4.02) for Mariners, P. Lambert (3.66) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

SEAG. Kirby (4.02)

HOUP. Lambert (3.66)

FanDuel lines

MLSEA · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.