MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 10

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, May 10, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games with 3 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins

12:15 PM ET

Nationals (11-12) visit the Marlins (9-12). Probable starters: C. Cavalli (3.86) for Nationals, S. Alcantara (4.00) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

WSHC. Cavalli (3.86)

MIAS. Alcantara (4.00)

FanDuel lines

MLWSH +116 · MIA -134

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at Baltimore Orioles

1:35 PM ET

Athletics (12-10) visit the Orioles (7-14). Probable starters: L. Severino (4.23) for Athletics, K. Akin (10.66) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 83°F.

Pitchers

ATHL. Severino (4.23)

BALK. Akin (10.66)

FanDuel lines

MLATH -108 · BAL -108

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

1:35 PM ET

Rays (16-6) visit the Red Sox (11-11). Probable starters: N. Martinez (1.51) for Rays, P. Tolle (2.27) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 67°F.

Pitchers

TBN. Martinez (1.51)

BOSP. Tolle (2.27)

FanDuel lines

MLTB +110 · BOS -130

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ET

Mariners (11-10) visit the White Sox (12-9). Probable starters: L. Gilbert (4.04) for Mariners, D. Martin (2.00) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 60°F.

Pitchers

SEAL. Gilbert (4.04)

CWSD. Martin (2.00)

FanDuel lines

MLSEA -126 · CWS +108

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Texas Rangers

2:35 PM ET

Cubs (18-4) visit the Rangers (9-12). Probable starters: J. Taillon (5.20) for Cubs, J. deGrom (3.86) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

CHCJ. Taillon (5.20)

TEXJ. deGrom (3.86)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC +110 · TEX -130

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at AZ

4:10 PM ET

Mets (8-12) visit the AZ (7-12). Probable starters: H. Brazobán (1.73) for Mets, E. Rodriguez (2.24) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 56°F.

Pitchers

NYMH. Brazobán (1.73)

AZE. Rodriguez (2.24)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM -104 · AZ -112

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

4:10 PM ET

Braves (15-6) visit the Dodgers (11-10). Probable starters: B. Elder (1.97) for Braves, J. Wrobleski (3.07) for Dodgers. Weather at first pitch: 80°F.

Pitchers

ATLB. Elder (1.97)

LADJ. Wrobleski (3.07)

FanDuel lines

MLATL +110 · LAD -130

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

7:20 PM ET

Tigers (10-13) visit the Royals (11-11). Probable starters: B. Hanifee (1.59) for Tigers, N. Cameron (4.72) for Royals. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

DETB. Hanifee (1.59)

KCN. Cameron (4.72)

FanDuel lines

MLDET +112 · KC -132

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.