MLB PICKS / MONDAY, MAY 11, 2026
Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners (11-11) visit the Houston Astros (7-14) at 8:10 PM ET. Probable starters: G. Kirby (3.54) for the Mariners, P. Lambert (3.79) for the Astros. Dome — no weather impact. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.
Away
Seattle Mariners
- Record
- 11-11
- L10
- 5-5
- RPG
- 4.21
- OPS
- .700
Probable starter
G. Kirby (3.54)
Home
Houston Astros
- Record
- 7-14
- L10
- 3-7
- RPG
- 4.44
- OPS
- .730
Probable starter
P. Lambert (3.79)
Matchup context
8:10 PM ET
- Weather
- Dome
- Wind
- —
- Rain
- —
- Diff
- 0.1
Projected score
SEA 5.2 — 3.4 HOU
Lines & ParlayLab picks
How ParlayLab grades this matchup
ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.
Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.