MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for August 17

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Monday, August 17, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 11 games with 1 HIGH-confidence pick — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

1:40 PM ET

Cardinals (63-61) visit the Reds (59-64). Probable starters: Q. Mathews (6.43) for Cardinals, K. Emanuel (18.00) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLQ. Mathews (6.43)

CINK. Emanuel (18.00)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL -110 · CIN +100

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays

6:05 PM ET

Orioles (61-63) visit the Rays (74-49). Probable starters: B. Young (3.50) for Orioles, S. McClanahan (3.10) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

BALB. Young (3.50)

TBS. McClanahan (3.10)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL +148 · TB -160

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

6:40 PM ET

Marlins (64-61) visit the Phillies (67-58). Probable starters: J. Junk (4.21) for Marlins, C. Sánchez (2.62) for Phillies. Weather at first pitch: 85°F, 1 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAJ. Junk (4.21)

PHIC. Sánchez (2.62)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA +225 · PHI -245

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates

7:05 PM ET

Tigers (60-64) visit the Pirates (61-65). Probable starters: F. Valdez (4.35) for Tigers, C. Mlodzinski (3.79) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

DETF. Valdez (4.35)

PITC. Mlodzinski (3.79)

FanDuel lines

MLDET -108 · PIT +100

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ET

AZ (66-59) visit the Red Sox (65-58). Probable starters: M. Bratt (4.70) for AZ, A. Gamboa (1.04) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 73°F, 2 mph wind.

Pitchers

AZM. Bratt (4.70)

BOSA. Gamboa (1.04)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ +120 · BOS -130

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

San Diego Padres at New York Mets

7:10 PM ET

Padres (66-58) visit the Mets (56-69). Probable starters: W. Buehler (4.63) for Padres, N. McLean (3.21) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

SDW. Buehler (4.63)

NYMN. McLean (3.21)

FanDuel lines

MLSD +106 · NYM -116

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at Kansas City Royals

7:40 PM ET

Athletics (49-75) visit the Royals (51-73). Probable starters: M. Barnett (7.08) for Athletics, M. Wacha (3.49) for Royals. Weather at first pitch: 89°F, 3 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATHM. Barnett (7.08)

KCM. Wacha (3.49)

FanDuel lines

MLATH +166 · KC -180

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins

7:40 PM ET

Braves (74-50) visit the Twins (60-65). Probable starters: M. Pérez (3.12) for Braves, B. Ober (4.49) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATLM. Pérez (3.12)

MINB. Ober (4.49)

FanDuel lines

MLATL -124 · MIN +106

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs

8:05 PM ET

White Sox (65-58) visit the Cubs (72-53). Probable starters: L. Castillo (5.19) for White Sox, S. Imanaga (3.78) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 72°F, 3 mph wind.

Pitchers

CWSL. Castillo (5.19)

CHCS. Imanaga (3.78)

FanDuel lines

MLCWS +142 · CHC -154

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.