MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for August 16

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, August 16, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays

12:15 PM ET

Orioles (60-63) visit the Rays (74-48). Probable starters: T. Rogers (4.38) for Orioles, F. Peralta (5.11) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

BALT. Rogers (4.38)

TBF. Peralta (5.11)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL +126 · TB -138

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates

1:35 PM ET

Red Sox (65-57) visit the Pirates (60-65). Probable starters: P. Sandoval (4.20) for Red Sox, L. Bachar (3.70) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSP. Sandoval (4.20)

PITL. Bachar (3.70)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS -106 · PIT -102

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Atlanta Braves

1:35 PM ET

AZ (66-58) visit the Braves (73-50). Probable starters: M. Soroka (2.93) for AZ, B. Elder (3.95) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 94°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

AZM. Soroka (2.93)

ATLB. Elder (3.95)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ +110 · ATL -120

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

1:37 PM ET

Yankees (68-55) visit the Blue Jays (61-64). Probable starters: R. Weathers (3.56) for Yankees, D. Cease (2.33) for Blue Jays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

NYYR. Weathers (3.56)

TORD. Cease (2.33)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY +110 · TOR -118

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 6.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets

1:40 PM ET

Nationals (60-65) visit the Mets (55-69). Probable starters: J. Irvin (5.62) for Nationals, C. Scott (3.73) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 14 mph wind.

Pitchers

WSHJ. Irvin (5.62)

NYMC. Scott (3.73)

FanDuel lines

MLWSH +146 · NYM -158

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers

1:40 PM ET

White Sox (64-58) visit the Tigers (60-63). Probable starters: S. Burke (3.32) for White Sox, D. Anderson (3.87) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

CWSS. Burke (3.32)

DETD. Anderson (3.87)

FanDuel lines

MLCWS +104 · DET -114

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds

1:40 PM ET

Marlins (63-61) visit the Reds (59-63). Probable starters: E. Pérez (3.44) for Marlins, N. Lodolo (5.24) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 88°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAE. Pérez (3.44)

CINN. Lodolo (5.24)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA -120 · CIN +110

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins

2:10 PM ET

Phillies (66-58) visit the Twins (60-64). Probable starters: A. Painter (5.95) for Phillies, D. Kremer (5.60) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

PHIA. Painter (5.95)

MIND. Kremer (5.60)

FanDuel lines

MLPHI -110 · MIN +100

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

3:15 PM ET

Cardinals (62-61) visit the Cubs (72-52). Probable starters: H. Dobbins (3.40) for Cardinals, E. Cabrera (5.10) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 82°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLH. Dobbins (3.40)

CHCE. Cabrera (5.10)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL +152 · CHC -166

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Athletics

4:05 PM ET

Rangers (60-62) visit the Athletics (48-75). Probable starters: C. Bradford (3.42) for Rangers, J. Lopez (4.82) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 20 mph wind.

Pitchers

TEXC. Bradford (3.42)

ATHJ. Lopez (4.82)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX -126 · ATH +116

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers

4:10 PM ET

Brewers (75-48) visit the Dodgers (72-48). Probable starters: L. Henderson (2.60) for Brewers, T. Skubal (2.91) for Dodgers. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILL. Henderson (2.60)

LADT. Skubal (2.91)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL +170 · LAD -184

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.