MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 28

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Tuesday, July 28, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds

1:40 PM ET

Guardians (54-53) visit the Reds (49-55). Probable starters: S. Cecconi (4.60) for Guardians, C. Burns (2.77) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

CLES. Cecconi (4.60)

CINC. Burns (2.77)

FanDuel lines

MLCLE +140 · CIN -166

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers

6:40 PM ET

Orioles (52-55) visit the Tigers (50-57). Probable starters: D. Kremer (5.22) for Orioles, T. Melton (1.86) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

BALD. Kremer (5.22)

DETT. Melton (1.86)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL +120 · DET -142

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Pittsburgh Pirates

6:40 PM ET

AZ (55-52) visit the Pirates (55-52). Probable starters: B. Pfaadt (3.51) for AZ, B. Chandler (4.38) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

AZB. Pfaadt (3.51)

PITB. Chandler (4.38)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ -102 · PIT -116

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays

6:40 PM ET

Rangers (54-52) visit the Rays (62-43). Probable starters: C. Quantrill (3.01) for Rangers, G. Jax (3.63) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TEXC. Quantrill (3.01)

TBG. Jax (3.63)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX +150 · TB -178

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals

6:45 PM ET

Blue Jays (49-58) visit the Nationals (54-53). Probable starters: S. Bieber (4.37) for Blue Jays, C. Cavalli (3.21) for Nationals. Weather at first pitch: 75°F, 10 mph wind.

Pitchers

TORS. Bieber (4.37)

WSHC. Cavalli (3.21)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR +120 · WSH -142

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds

7:10 PM ET

Guardians (54-53) visit the Reds (49-55). Probable starters: G. Williams (3.72) for Guardians, C. Ferguson (5.18) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 84°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

CLEG. Williams (3.72)

CINC. Ferguson (5.18)

FanDuel lines

MLCLE +138 · CIN -164

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

7:40 PM ET

Royals (45-62) visit the Twins (53-54). Probable starters: S. Lugo (4.61) for Royals, T. Bradley (3.90) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 88°F, 2 mph wind.

Pitchers

KCS. Lugo (4.61)

MINT. Bradley (3.90)

FanDuel lines

MLKC +150 · MIN -178

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox

7:40 PM ET

Yankees (60-46) visit the White Sox (55-50). Probable starters: G. Cole (3.19) for Yankees, A. Kay (3.96) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 68°F, 10 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYYG. Cole (3.19)

CWSA. Kay (3.96)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY -118 · CWS +100

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals

7:45 PM ET

Cubs (60-46) visit the Cardinals (53-53). Probable starters: C. Rea (4.67) for Cubs, M. McGreevy (3.54) for Cardinals. Weather at first pitch: 87°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

CHCC. Rea (4.67)

STLM. McGreevy (3.54)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC -112 · STL -104

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Athletics

9:40 PM ET

Red Sox (55-50) visit the Athletics (44-62). Probable starters: J. Bennett (3.49) for Red Sox, G. Jump (4.83) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 24 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSJ. Bennett (3.49)

ATHG. Jump (4.83)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS -146 · ATH +124

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ET

Rockies (42-65) visit the Padres (53-53). Probable starters: M. Lorenzen (6.83) for Rockies, M. King (3.38) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 71°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

COLM. Lorenzen (6.83)

SDM. King (3.38)

FanDuel lines

MLCOL +116 · SD -136

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.