MLB PICKS / TUESDAY, JULY 28, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins

Philadelphia Phillies (45-38) visit the Miami Marlins (43-39) at 6:40 PM ET. Probable starters: A. Nola (5.68) for the Phillies, S. Alcantara (3.89) for the Marlins. Dome — no weather impact. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with Pro.

Away

Philadelphia Phillies

Record
45-38
L10
4-6
RPG
4.34
OPS
.704

Probable starter

A. Nola (5.68)

Home

Miami Marlins

Record
43-39
L10
1-9
RPG
4.38
OPS
.729

Probable starter

S. Alcantara (3.89)

16 prior starts vs this opponent · 4.37 ERA

Matchup context

6:40 PM ET

Weather
Dome
Wind
Rain
Diff
-1.4

Projected score

PHI 4.0 — 6.1 MIA

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

PHI+265

MIA-370

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

PHI+1.5 (-106)

MIA-1.5 (-125)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O11.5 (+116)

U11.5 (-154)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.