MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 11

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Saturday, July 11, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 16 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

12:05 PM ET

Brewers (59-34) visit the Pirates (47-47). Probable starters: B. Sproat (5.05) for Brewers, B. Ashcraft (3.59) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 3 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILB. Sproat (5.05)

PITB. Ashcraft (3.59)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · PIT

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ET

Athletics (41-53) visit the White Sox (48-45). Probable starters: G. Jump (4.83) for Athletics, B. Hudson (2.25) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 10 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATHG. Jump (4.83)

CWSB. Hudson (2.25)

FanDuel lines

MLATH · CWS

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals

4:05 PM ET

Yankees (52-42) visit the Nationals (48-47). Probable starters: C. Schlittler (2.16) for Yankees, P. Poulin (2.83) for Nationals. Weather at first pitch: 87°F, 2 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYYC. Schlittler (2.16)

WSHP. Poulin (2.83)

FanDuel lines

MLNYY · WSH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

4:05 PM ET

Brewers (59-34) visit the Pirates (47-47). Probable starters: S. Drohan (3.84) for Brewers, B. Chandler (4.38) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 3 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILS. Drohan (3.84)

PITB. Chandler (4.38)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · PIT

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets

4:10 PM ET

Red Sox (44-48) visit the Mets (40-55). Probable starters: E. Rivera (6.30) for Red Sox, F. Peralta (5.33) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSE. Rivera (6.30)

NYMF. Peralta (5.33)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS · NYM

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

7:05 PM ET

Astros (46-50) visit the Rangers (48-46). Probable starters: P. Lambert (3.68) for Astros, K. Rocker (4.41) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

HOUP. Lambert (3.68)

TEXK. Rocker (4.41)

FanDuel lines

MLHOU · TEX

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

7:10 PM ET

Cubs (52-42) visit the Reds (43-50). Probable starters: J. Assad (3.75) for Cubs, N. Lodolo (5.04) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 3 mph wind.

Pitchers

CHCJ. Assad (3.75)

CINN. Lodolo (5.04)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC · CIN

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals

7:15 PM ET

Braves (54-39) visit the Cardinals (49-44). Probable starters: R. López (3.64) for Braves, M. Liberatore (5.44) for Cardinals. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATLR. López (3.64)

STLM. Liberatore (5.44)

FanDuel lines

MLATL · STL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres

8:40 PM ET

Blue Jays (45-49) visit the Padres (46-48). Probable starters: T. Yesavage (3.73) for Blue Jays, W. Buehler (4.63) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 70°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

TORT. Yesavage (3.73)

SDW. Buehler (4.63)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR · SD

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

AZ at Los Angeles Dodgers

9:10 PM ET

AZ (47-47) visit the Dodgers (61-34). Probable starters: B. Pfaadt (3.51) for AZ, Y. Yamamoto (2.61) for Dodgers. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

AZB. Pfaadt (3.51)

LADY. Yamamoto (2.61)

FanDuel lines

MLAZ · LAD

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.