MLB PICKS
ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Saturday, July 11, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 16 games with 2 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.
Royals (30-42) visit the Orioles (33-39). Probable starters: N. Cameron (4.77) for Royals, K. Bradish (3.75) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 11 mph wind.
Pitchers
KCN. Cameron (4.77)
BALK. Bradish (3.75)
FanDuel lines
MLKC +134 · BAL -158
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Cubs (39-32) visit the Reds (29-40). Probable starters: J. Assad (4.15) for Cubs, N. Lodolo (4.68) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 3 mph wind.
Pitchers
CHCJ. Assad (4.15)
CINN. Lodolo (4.68)
FanDuel lines
MLCHC -102 · CIN -116
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Phillies (40-32) visit the Tigers (34-38). Probable starters: C. Sánchez (2.62) for Phillies, C. Mize (2.64) for Tigers. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 12 mph wind.
Pitchers
PHIC. Sánchez (2.62)
DETC. Mize (2.64)
FanDuel lines
MLPHI -142 · DET +120
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
LOWHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
AZ (33-33) visit the Dodgers (42-27). Probable starters: B. Pfaadt (4.84) for AZ, Y. Yamamoto (2.49) for Dodgers. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 9 mph wind.
Pitchers
AZB. Pfaadt (4.84)
LADY. Yamamoto (2.49)
FanDuel lines
MLAZ +240 · LAD -295
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDHIGH edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Yankees (40-33) visit the Nationals (36-37). Probable starters: C. Schlittler (2.01) for Yankees, P. Poulin (2.83) for Nationals. Weather at first pitch: 87°F, 2 mph wind.
Pitchers
NYYC. Schlittler (2.01)
WSHP. Poulin (2.83)
FanDuel lines
MLNYY -194 · WSH +162
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Red Sox (36-36) visit the Mets (30-42). Probable starters: E. Rivera (0.00) for Red Sox, F. Peralta (4.68) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 7 mph wind.
Pitchers
BOSE. Rivera (0.00)
NYMF. Peralta (4.68)
FanDuel lines
MLBOS +124 · NYM -146
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Brewers (47-24) visit the Pirates (35-36). Probable starters: B. Sproat (5.16) for Brewers, B. Ashcraft (3.49) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 79°F, 3 mph wind.
Pitchers
MILB. Sproat (5.16)
PITB. Ashcraft (3.49)
FanDuel lines
MLMIL -102 · PIT -116
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Brewers (47-24) visit the Pirates (35-36). Probable starters: S. Drohan (2.97) for Brewers, B. Chandler (4.82) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 3 mph wind.
Pitchers
MILS. Drohan (2.97)
PITB. Chandler (4.82)
FanDuel lines
MLMIL +106 · PIT -124
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Blue Jays (37-38) visit the Padres (33-36). Probable starters: T. Yesavage (3.31) for Blue Jays, W. Buehler (5.07) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 70°F, 5 mph wind.
Pitchers
TORT. Yesavage (3.31)
SDW. Buehler (5.07)
FanDuel lines
MLTOR -104 · SD -112
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Rockies (29-42) visit the Giants (31-38). Probable starters: K. Freeland (7.46) for Rockies, T. Mahle (5.70) for Giants. Weather at first pitch: 67°F, 10 mph wind.
Pitchers
COLK. Freeland (7.46)
SFT. Mahle (5.70)
FanDuel lines
MLCOL +124 · SF -146
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Braves (41-28) visit the Cardinals (36-34). Probable starters: R. López (3.18) for Braves, M. Liberatore (5.34) for Cardinals. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 9 mph wind.
Pitchers
ATLR. López (3.18)
STLM. Liberatore (5.34)
FanDuel lines
MLATL -104 · STL -112
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Mariners (35-36) visit the Rays (43-28). Probable starters: L. Gilbert (3.19) for Mariners, G. Jax (3.60) for Rays. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
SEAL. Gilbert (3.19)
TBG. Jax (3.60)
FanDuel lines
MLSEA -106 · TB -110
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 7
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Astros (35-37) visit the Rangers (36-34). Probable starters: P. Lambert (3.26) for Astros, K. Rocker (3.95) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
HOUP. Lambert (3.26)
TEXK. Rocker (3.95)
FanDuel lines
MLHOU +100 · TEX -118
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Angels (25-43) visit the Twins (32-40). Probable starters: R. Johnson (6.99) for Angels, J. Ryan (2.85) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 88°F, 6 mph wind.
Pitchers
LAAR. Johnson (6.99)
MINJ. Ryan (2.85)
FanDuel lines
MLLAA +152 · MIN -180
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Athletics (30-40) visit the White Sox (39-32). Probable starters: G. Jump (3.77) for Athletics, B. Hudson (2.25) for White Sox. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 10 mph wind.
Pitchers
ATHG. Jump (3.77)
CWSB. Hudson (2.25)
FanDuel lines
MLATH +104 · CWS -122
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Guardians (35-37) visit the Marlins (42-29). Probable starters: T. Bibee (4.06) for Guardians, E. Pérez (3.84) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
CLET. Bibee (4.06)
MIAE. Pérez (3.84)
FanDuel lines
MLCLE +134 · MIA -158
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.
Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.
Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.