MLB PICKS / SATURDAY, JULY 11, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs (39-32) visit the Cincinnati Reds (29-40) at 7:10 PM ET. Probable starters: J. Assad (4.53) for the Cubs, N. Lodolo (5.05) for the Reds. First-pitch weather: 78°F, 2 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.
Away
Chicago Cubs
- Record
- 39-32
- L10
- 6-4
- RPG
- 5.07
- OPS
- .749
Probable starter
J. Assad (4.53)
Home
Cincinnati Reds
- Record
- 29-40
- L10
- 3-7
- RPG
- 4.17
- OPS
- .698
Probable starter
N. Lodolo (5.05)
Matchup context
7:10 PM ET
- Weather
- 78°F
- Wind
- 2 mph
- Rain
- 0%
- Diff
- 2.1
Projected score
CHC 3.5 — 3.1 CIN
Lines & ParlayLab picks
How ParlayLab grades this matchup
ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.
Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.