MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 22

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Friday, May 22, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 14 games with 5 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ET

Astros (20-31) visit the Cubs (29-21). Probable starters: S. Arrighetti (4.73) for Astros, J. Taillon (5.96) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 61°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

HOUS. Arrighetti (4.73)

CHCJ. Taillon (5.96)

FanDuel lines

MLHOU · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ET

Twins (23-27) visit the Red Sox (22-27). Probable starters: C. Prielipp (5.57) for Twins, P. Tolle (3.09) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 61°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

MINC. Prielipp (5.57)

BOSP. Tolle (3.09)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN · BOS

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

7:10 PM ET

Mets (22-28) visit the Marlins (22-29). Probable starters: T. Myers (4.05) for Mets, E. Pérez (3.17) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

NYMT. Myers (4.05)

MIAE. Pérez (3.17)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · MIA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

7:15 PM ET

Tigers (20-31) visit the Orioles (21-29). Probable starters: J. Flaherty (4.48) for Tigers, K. Akin (5.68) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 55°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

DETJ. Flaherty (4.48)

BALK. Akin (5.68)

FanDuel lines

MLDET · BAL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Nationals (25-26) visit the Braves (35-16). Probable starters: R. Lovelady (3.86) for Nationals, B. Elder (3.95) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

WSHR. Lovelady (3.86)

ATLB. Elder (3.95)

FanDuel lines

MLWSH · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels

9:38 PM ET

Rangers (24-25) visit the Angels (17-34). Probable starters: J. deGrom (4.21) for Rangers, G. Rodriguez (6.03) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

TEXJ. deGrom (4.21)

LAAG. Rodriguez (6.03)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX · LAA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Colorado Rockies at AZ

9:40 PM ET

Rockies (19-32) visit the AZ (26-23). Probable starters: T. Sugano (4.96) for Rockies, M. Soroka (2.93) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 58°F, 18 mph wind.

Pitchers

COLT. Sugano (4.96)

AZM. Soroka (2.93)

FanDuel lines

MLCOL · AZ

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ET

Athletics (26-24) visit the Padres (29-20). Probable starters: J. Springs (6.08) for Athletics, W. Buehler (4.63) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 65°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATHJ. Springs (6.08)

SDW. Buehler (4.63)

FanDuel lines

MLATH · SD

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.