MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 22

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Friday, May 22, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 14 games with 5 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ET

Astros (11-19) visit the Cubs (20-11). Probable starters: S. Arrighetti (3.81) for Astros, J. Taillon (5.37) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 61°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

HOUS. Arrighetti (3.81)

CHCJ. Taillon (5.37)

FanDuel lines

MLHOU · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ET

Twins (11-20) visit the Red Sox (16-15). Probable starters: C. Prielipp (4.96) for Twins, P. Tolle (3.39) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 61°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

MINC. Prielipp (4.96)

BOSP. Tolle (3.39)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN · BOS

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

7:10 PM ET

Mets (14-16) visit the Marlins (13-18). Probable starters: T. Myers (4.05) for Mets, E. Pérez (4.21) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

NYMT. Myers (4.05)

MIAE. Pérez (4.21)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · MIA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

7:15 PM ET

Tigers (12-21) visit the Orioles (11-19). Probable starters: J. Flaherty (4.60) for Tigers, K. Akin (5.68) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 55°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

DETJ. Flaherty (4.60)

BALK. Akin (5.68)

FanDuel lines

MLDET · BAL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Nationals (16-17) visit the Braves (22-9). Probable starters: R. Lovelady (3.86) for Nationals, B. Elder (4.01) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 77°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

WSHR. Lovelady (3.86)

ATLB. Elder (4.01)

FanDuel lines

MLWSH · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels

9:38 PM ET

Rangers (14-16) visit the Angels (7-24). Probable starters: J. deGrom (3.48) for Rangers, G. Rodriguez (8.06) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

TEXJ. deGrom (3.48)

LAAG. Rodriguez (8.06)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX · LAA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Colorado Rockies at AZ

9:40 PM ET

Rockies (12-20) visit the AZ (15-14). Probable starters: T. Sugano (4.80) for Rockies, M. Soroka (3.11) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 58°F, 18 mph wind.

Pitchers

COLT. Sugano (4.80)

AZM. Soroka (3.11)

FanDuel lines

MLCOL · AZ

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ET

Athletics (17-15) visit the Padres (17-13). Probable starters: J. Springs (5.79) for Athletics, W. Buehler (4.61) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 65°F, 6 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATHJ. Springs (5.79)

SDW. Buehler (4.61)

FanDuel lines

MLATH · SD

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

HIGH

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.