MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 14

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Thursday, May 14, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 11 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates

12:35 PM ET

Rockies (17-26) visit the Pirates (23-20). Probable starters: C. Dollander (3.35) for Rockies, M. Montgomery (2.87) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

COLC. Dollander (3.35)

PITM. Montgomery (2.87)

FanDuel lines

MLCOL · PIT

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets

1:10 PM ET

Tigers (19-24) visit the Mets (17-25). Probable starters: K. Montero (3.30) for Tigers, N. McLean (3.21) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

DETK. Montero (3.30)

NYMN. McLean (3.21)

FanDuel lines

MLDET · NYM

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins

1:40 PM ET

Marlins (20-23) visit the Twins (19-24). Probable starters: B. Garrett (14.54) for Marlins, Z. Matthews (4.58) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 17 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAB. Garrett (14.54)

MINZ. Matthews (4.58)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA · MIN

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

2:10 PM ET

Mariners (21-23) visit the Astros (17-27). Probable starters: L. Castillo (5.19) for Mariners, M. Burrows (5.58) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

SEAL. Castillo (5.19)

HOUM. Burrows (5.58)

FanDuel lines

MLSEA · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Athletics

3:05 PM ET

Cardinals (24-18) visit the Athletics (22-20). Probable starters: M. McGreevy (3.54) for Cardinals, J. Lopez (4.98) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

STLM. McGreevy (3.54)

ATHJ. Lopez (4.98)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL · ATH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Cubs (27-16) visit the Braves (30-13). Probable starters: B. Brown (1.74) for Cubs, C. Sale (2.20) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

CHCB. Brown (1.74)

ATLC. Sale (2.20)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.