MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 14

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Thursday, May 14, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 11 games with 3 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates

12:35 PM ET

Rockies (10-14) visit the Pirates (12-12). Probable starters: C. Dollander (3.35) for Rockies, M. Montgomery (2.87) for Pirates. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

COLC. Dollander (3.35)

PITM. Montgomery (2.87)

FanDuel lines

MLCOL +146 · PIT -174

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets

1:10 PM ET

Tigers (11-14) visit the Mets (9-13). Probable starters: K. Montero (3.83) for Tigers, N. McLean (4.40) for Mets. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

DETK. Montero (3.83)

NYMN. McLean (4.40)

FanDuel lines

MLDET +138 · NYM -164

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins

1:40 PM ET

Marlins (11-12) visit the Twins (7-17). Probable starters: B. Garrett (14.54) for Marlins, Z. Matthews (2.37) for Twins. Weather at first pitch: 76°F.

Pitchers

MIAB. Garrett (14.54)

MINZ. Matthews (2.37)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA -110 · MIN -106

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

2:10 PM ET

Mariners (12-12) visit the Astros (8-15). Probable starters: L. Castillo (6.41) for Mariners, M. Burrows (5.75) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

SEAL. Castillo (6.41)

HOUM. Burrows (5.75)

FanDuel lines

MLSEA -112 · HOU -104

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Athletics

3:05 PM ET

Cardinals (14-10) visit the Athletics (13-11). Probable starters: M. McGreevy (2.40) for Cardinals, J. Lopez (5.80) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

STLM. McGreevy (2.40)

ATHJ. Lopez (5.80)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL +106 · ATH -124

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET

Cubs (18-6) visit the Braves (17-6). Probable starters: B. Brown (2.01) for Cubs, C. Sale (1.80) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

CHCB. Brown (2.01)

ATLC. Sale (1.80)

FanDuel lines

MLCHC +166 · ATL -198

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.