MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 7

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Thursday, May 7, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 10 games with 6 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

12:35 PM ET

Rangers (8-10) visit the Yankees (15-4). Probable starters: M. Gore (4.42) for Rangers, P. Blackburn (3.21) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 62°F.

Pitchers

TEXM. Gore (4.42)

NYYP. Blackburn (3.21)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX +126 · NYY -148

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals

1:05 PM ET

Twins (5-14) visit the Nationals (9-11). Probable starters: S. Woods Richardson (6.92) for Twins, J. Irvin (5.79) for Nationals. Weather at first pitch: 60°F.

Pitchers

MINS. Woods Richardson (6.92)

WSHJ. Irvin (5.79)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN +106 · WSH -124

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ET

Reds (10-9) visit the Cubs (16-3). Probable starters: R. Lowder (5.09) for Reds, S. Imanaga (4.04) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 52°F.

Pitchers

CINR. Lowder (5.09)

CHCS. Imanaga (4.04)

FanDuel lines

MLCIN +172 · CHC -205

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

MED

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Pittsburgh Pirates at AZ

3:40 PM ET

Pirates (10-9) visit the AZ (6-10). Probable starters: M. Keller (3.86) for Pirates, Z. Gallen (4.80) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 54°F.

Pitchers

PITM. Keller (3.86)

AZZ. Gallen (4.80)

FanDuel lines

MLPIT -104 · AZ -112

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies

6:40 PM ET

Athletics (9-10) visit the Phillies (8-11). Probable starters: J. Ginn (2.98) for Athletics, A. Painter (5.77) for Phillies. Weather at first pitch: 65°F.

Pitchers

ATHJ. Ginn (2.98)

PHIA. Painter (5.77)

FanDuel lines

MLATH +108 · PHI -126

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins

6:40 PM ET

Orioles (7-11) visit the Marlins (7-11). Probable starters: C. Povich (4.41) for Orioles, M. Meyer (2.52) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

BALC. Povich (4.41)

MIAM. Meyer (2.52)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL +108 · MIA -126

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ET

Rays (15-5) visit the Red Sox (10-10). Probable starters: G. Jax (3.54) for Rays, J. Bennett (1.80) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 60°F.

Pitchers

TBG. Jax (3.54)

BOSJ. Bennett (1.80)

FanDuel lines

MLTB -102 · BOS -116

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

HIGH edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ET

Mets (7-10) visit the Rockies (7-12). Probable starters: C. Scott (4.12) for Mets, J. Quintana (4.08) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 33°F.

Pitchers

NYMC. Scott (4.12)

COLJ. Quintana (4.08)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM -166 · COL +140

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

Unlock with Pro

3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.