MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for May 7

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Thursday, May 7, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 10 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

12:35 PM ET

Rangers (17-19) visit the Yankees (25-12). Probable starters: M. Gore (4.26) for Rangers, P. Blackburn (2.31) for Yankees. Weather at first pitch: 62°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

TEXM. Gore (4.26)

NYYP. Blackburn (2.31)

FanDuel lines

MLTEX · NYY

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Minnesota Twins at Washington Nationals

1:05 PM ET

Twins (16-21) visit the Nationals (17-20). Probable starters: S. Woods Richardson (6.92) for Twins, J. Irvin (5.82) for Nationals. Weather at first pitch: 60°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

MINS. Woods Richardson (6.92)

WSHJ. Irvin (5.82)

FanDuel lines

MLMIN · WSH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ET

Reds (20-17) visit the Cubs (25-12). Probable starters: R. Lowder (5.13) for Reds, S. Imanaga (3.78) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 52°F, 4 mph wind.

Pitchers

CINR. Lowder (5.13)

CHCS. Imanaga (3.78)

FanDuel lines

MLCIN · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Pittsburgh Pirates at AZ

3:40 PM ET

Pirates (20-17) visit the AZ (17-18). Probable starters: M. Keller (4.83) for Pirates, Z. Gallen (6.36) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 54°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

PITM. Keller (4.83)

AZZ. Gallen (6.36)

FanDuel lines

MLPIT · AZ

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Athletics at Philadelphia Phillies

6:40 PM ET

Athletics (18-18) visit the Phillies (17-20). Probable starters: J. Ginn (3.60) for Athletics, A. Painter (6.04) for Phillies. Weather at first pitch: 65°F, 7 mph wind.

Pitchers

ATHJ. Ginn (3.60)

PHIA. Painter (6.04)

FanDuel lines

MLATH · PHI

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins

6:40 PM ET

Orioles (17-20) visit the Marlins (16-21). Probable starters: C. Povich (3.91) for Orioles, M. Meyer (2.58) for Marlins. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

BALC. Povich (3.91)

MIAM. Meyer (2.58)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL · MIA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ET

Rays (24-12) visit the Red Sox (16-21). Probable starters: G. Jax (3.63) for Rays, J. Bennett (3.49) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 60°F, 11 mph wind.

Pitchers

TBG. Jax (3.63)

BOSJ. Bennett (3.49)

FanDuel lines

MLTB · BOS

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres

10:10 PM ET

Cardinals (21-15) visit the Padres (22-14). Probable starters: M. Liberatore (5.44) for Cardinals, M. King (3.23) for Padres. Weather at first pitch: 64°F, 4 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLM. Liberatore (5.44)

SDM. King (3.23)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL · SD

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ET

Mets (14-22) visit the Rockies (14-23). Probable starters: C. Scott (3.73) for Mets, J. Quintana (4.08) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 33°F, 5 mph wind.

Pitchers

NYMC. Scott (3.73)

COLJ. Quintana (4.08)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · COL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.