MLB PICKS / TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

Milwaukee Brewers (97-58) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (85-70) at 6:40 PM ET. Probable starters: D. May (4.61) for the Brewers, Z. Wheeler (2.99) for the Phillies. First-pitch weather: 62°F, 8 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with Pro.

Away

Milwaukee Brewers

Record
97-58
L10
8-2
RPG
5.14
OPS
.744

Probable starter

D. May (4.61)

Home

Philadelphia Phillies

Record
85-70
L10
4-6
RPG
4.47
OPS
.709

Probable starter

Z. Wheeler (2.99)

6 prior starts vs this opponent · 2.02 ERA

Matchup context

6:40 PM ET

Weather
62°F
Wind
8 mph
Rain
0%
Diff
-0.5

Projected score

MIL 3.2 — 3.8 PHI

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

MIL+120

PHI-142

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

MIL+1.5 (-188)

PHI-1.5 (+155)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O7.5 (+104)

U7.5 (-128)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.