MLB PICKS
ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Tuesday, August 4, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games on the board — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.
Angels (43-69) visit the Orioles (54-58). Probable starters: G. Rodriguez (6.03) for Angels, C. Povich (3.91) for Orioles. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 6 mph wind.
Pitchers
LAAG. Rodriguez (6.03)
BALC. Povich (3.91)
FanDuel lines
MLLAA +138 · BAL -148
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Mets (47-66) visit the Guardians (57-56). Probable starters: S. Manaea (4.55) for Mets, J. Cantillo (3.73) for Guardians. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 8 mph wind.
Pitchers
NYMS. Manaea (4.55)
CLEJ. Cantillo (3.73)
FanDuel lines
MLNYM +116 · CLE -126
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Athletics (45-67) visit the Reds (53-58). Probable starters: J. Ginn (3.60) for Athletics, B. Singer (4.72) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 85°F, 0 mph wind.
Pitchers
ATHJ. Ginn (3.60)
CINB. Singer (4.72)
FanDuel lines
MLATH +120 · CIN -128
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Nationals (55-59) visit the Phillies (60-53). Probable starters: C. Palmquist (7.71) for Nationals, J. Luzardo (3.23) for Phillies. Weather at first pitch: 84°F, 6 mph wind.
Pitchers
WSHC. Palmquist (7.71)
PHIJ. Luzardo (3.23)
FanDuel lines
MLWSH +260 · PHI -300
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Cardinals (56-57) visit the Yankees (63-50). Probable starters: H. Dobbins (3.40) for Cardinals, R. Weathers (3.56) for Yankees.
Pitchers
STLH. Dobbins (3.40)
NYYR. Weathers (3.56)
FanDuel lines
MLSTL +186 · NYY -205
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
White Sox (59-52) visit the Red Sox (59-51). Probable starters: D. Martin (4.17) for White Sox, P. Sandoval (4.20) for Red Sox. Weather at first pitch: 83°F, 6 mph wind.
Pitchers
CWSD. Martin (4.17)
BOSP. Sandoval (4.20)
FanDuel lines
MLCWS +134 · BOS -144
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Marlins (58-55) visit the Braves (67-45). Probable starters: R. Gusto (3.98) for Marlins, G. Holmes (3.64) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 80°F, 2 mph wind.
Pitchers
MIAR. Gusto (3.98)
ATLG. Holmes (3.64)
FanDuel lines
MLMIA +132 · ATL -142
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Twins (56-57) visit the Royals (46-67). Probable starters: J. Ryan (3.52) for Twins, R. Dobnak (1.92) for Royals. Weather at first pitch: 89°F, 7 mph wind.
Pitchers
MINJ. Ryan (3.52)
KCR. Dobnak (1.92)
FanDuel lines
MLMIN -140 · KC +130
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Pirates (57-57) visit the Brewers (69-43). Probable starters: J. Jones (4.83) for Pirates, L. Henderson (2.60) for Brewers. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
PITJ. Jones (4.83)
MILL. Henderson (2.60)
FanDuel lines
MLPIT +132 · MIL -142
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Dodgers (68-43) visit the Cubs (64-49). Probable starters: T. Skubal (2.91) for Dodgers, J. Assad (3.75) for Cubs.
Pitchers
LADT. Skubal (2.91)
CHCJ. Assad (3.75)
FanDuel lines
MLLAD -190 · CHC +176
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
MEDMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Giants (48-65) visit the Rangers (55-58). Probable starters: B. Tidwell (4.54) for Giants, M. Gore (4.26) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
SFB. Tidwell (4.54)
TEXM. Gore (4.26)
FanDuel lines
MLSF +176 · TEX -190
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Blue Jays (53-60) visit the Astros (58-56). Probable starters: T. Yesavage (3.73) for Blue Jays, H. Wesneski (3.86) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
TORT. Yesavage (3.73)
HOUH. Wesneski (3.86)
FanDuel lines
MLTOR +126 · HOU -136
RL+1.5
TotalO/U 8.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Rays (66-46) visit the Rockies (45-67). Probable starters: F. Peralta (5.33) for Rays, G. Hughes (6.61) for Rockies. Weather at first pitch: 73°F, 8 mph wind.
Pitchers
TBF. Peralta (5.33)
COLG. Hughes (6.61)
FanDuel lines
MLTB -166 · COL +154
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 11
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Padres (57-55) visit the AZ (60-53). Probable starters: R. Vásquez (4.19) for Padres, E. Rodriguez (2.61) for AZ.
Pitchers
SDR. Vásquez (4.19)
AZE. Rodriguez (2.61)
FanDuel lines
MLSD +104 · AZ -114
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 9
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Tigers (54-58) visit the Mariners (55-57). Probable starters: T. Melton (1.86) for Tigers, E. Hancock (3.30) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.
Pitchers
DETT. Melton (1.86)
SEAE. Hancock (3.30)
FanDuel lines
MLDET +110 · SEA -120
RL-1.5
TotalO/U 7.5
ParlayLab pick
LOWMED edge
ML / RL / O-U projection
3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.
Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.
Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.
Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.