MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 5

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, July 5, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games with 2 HIGH-confidence picks — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with a free 7-day Pro trial.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

12:30 PM ET

Mets (26-40) visit the Braves (39-25). Probable starters: N. McLean (3.73) for Mets, M. Pérez (3.27) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

NYMN. McLean (3.73)

ATLM. Pérez (3.27)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM -110 · ATL -106

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds

1:05 PM ET

Orioles (31-36) visit the Reds (26-38). Probable starters: K. Bradish (3.75) for Orioles, N. Lodolo (4.68) for Reds. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

BALK. Bradish (3.75)

CINN. Lodolo (4.68)

FanDuel lines

MLBAL -112 · CIN -104

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

2:00 PM ET

White Sox (37-29) visit the Guardians (33-34). Probable starters: C. Murphy (4.79) for White Sox, T. Bibee (4.06) for Guardians. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

CWSC. Murphy (4.79)

CLET. Bibee (4.06)

FanDuel lines

MLCWS +116 · CLE -136

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

2:30 PM ET

Cardinals (35-29) visit the Cubs (36-30). Probable starters: M. Liberatore (5.34) for Cardinals, J. Assad (4.15) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 68°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLM. Liberatore (5.34)

CHCJ. Assad (4.15)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL +120 · CHC -142

RL+1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros

3:30 PM ET

Rays (40-25) visit the Astros (33-34). Probable starters: M. Englert (3.82) for Rays, P. Lambert (3.26) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TBM. Englert (3.82)

HOUP. Lambert (3.26)

FanDuel lines

MLTB -102 · HOU -116

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 9

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

3:30 PM ET

Tigers (29-38) visit the Rangers (33-32). Probable starters: C. Mize (2.64) for Tigers, K. Rocker (3.95) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

DETC. Mize (2.64)

TEXK. Rocker (3.95)

FanDuel lines

MLDET -126 · TEX +108

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at AZ

4:00 PM ET

Brewers (42-23) visit the AZ (31-31). Probable starters: B. Sproat (5.16) for Brewers, E. Rodriguez (2.25) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 74°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILB. Sproat (5.16)

AZE. Rodriguez (2.25)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL -120 · AZ +102

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8.5

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Athletics

4:30 PM ET

Marlins (38-28) visit the Athletics (30-35). Probable starters: E. Pérez (3.84) for Marlins, G. Jump (3.77) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 73°F, 15 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAE. Pérez (3.84)

ATHG. Jump (3.77)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA +100 · ATH -118

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 10

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners

5:00 PM ET

Blue Jays (34-36) visit the Mariners (34-32). Probable starters: T. Yesavage (3.31) for Blue Jays, E. Hancock (3.23) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TORT. Yesavage (3.31)

SEAE. Hancock (3.23)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR +100 · SEA -118

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 7.5

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

9:30 PM ET

Red Sox (31-36) visit the Angels (23-40). Probable starters: R. Suarez (2.94) for Red Sox, R. Johnson (6.99) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSR. Suarez (2.94)

LAAR. Johnson (6.99)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS -162 · LAA +136

RL-1.5

TotalO/U 8

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with a Pro trial. No card charged for the first 7 days.