MLB PICKS

MLB Picks for July 5

ParlayLab's methodology engine grades the Sunday, July 5, 2026 MLB slate against the market. 15 games with 1 HIGH-confidence pick — moneyline, run line, total, and player props. The full pick selections are available with Pro.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

12:30 PM ET

Mets (36-53) visit the Braves (52-35). Probable starters: N. McLean (3.21) for Mets, M. Pérez (3.12) for Braves. Weather at first pitch: 72°F.

Pitchers

NYMN. McLean (3.21)

ATLM. Pérez (3.12)

FanDuel lines

MLNYM · ATL

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

2:00 PM ET

White Sox (46-42) visit the Guardians (47-43). Probable starters: C. Murphy (4.20) for White Sox, T. Bibee (3.97) for Guardians. Weather at first pitch: 76°F, 12 mph wind.

Pitchers

CWSC. Murphy (4.20)

CLET. Bibee (3.97)

FanDuel lines

MLCWS · CLE

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

2:30 PM ET

Cardinals (47-39) visit the Cubs (49-40). Probable starters: M. Liberatore (5.07) for Cardinals, J. Assad (3.75) for Cubs. Weather at first pitch: 68°F, 9 mph wind.

Pitchers

STLM. Liberatore (5.07)

CHCJ. Assad (3.75)

FanDuel lines

MLSTL · CHC

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros

3:30 PM ET

Rays (52-34) visit the Astros (44-47). Probable starters: M. Englert (4.54) for Rays, P. Lambert (3.68) for Astros. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TBM. Englert (4.54)

HOUP. Lambert (3.68)

FanDuel lines

MLTB · HOU

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

3:30 PM ET

Tigers (39-50) visit the Rangers (45-44). Probable starters: C. Mize (3.44) for Tigers, K. Rocker (4.46) for Rangers. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

DETC. Mize (3.44)

TEXK. Rocker (4.46)

FanDuel lines

MLDET · TEX

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Milwaukee Brewers at AZ

4:00 PM ET

Brewers (54-33) visit the AZ (44-44). Probable starters: B. Sproat (5.05) for Brewers, E. Rodriguez (2.61) for AZ. Weather at first pitch: 74°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

MILB. Sproat (5.05)

AZE. Rodriguez (2.61)

FanDuel lines

MLMIL · AZ

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

MED

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Miami Marlins at Athletics

4:30 PM ET

Marlins (48-42) visit the Athletics (41-48). Probable starters: E. Pérez (3.17) for Marlins, G. Jump (4.83) for Athletics. Weather at first pitch: 73°F, 15 mph wind.

Pitchers

MIAE. Pérez (3.17)

ATHG. Jump (4.83)

FanDuel lines

MLMIA · ATH

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners

5:00 PM ET

Blue Jays (42-47) visit the Mariners (46-44). Probable starters: T. Yesavage (3.73) for Blue Jays, E. Hancock (3.30) for Mariners. Dome — no weather impact.

Pitchers

TORT. Yesavage (3.73)

SEAE. Hancock (3.30)

FanDuel lines

MLTOR · SEA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

9:30 PM ET

Red Sox (39-48) visit the Angels (36-54). Probable starters: R. Suarez (3.41) for Red Sox, R. Johnson (5.75) for Angels. Weather at first pitch: 78°F, 8 mph wind.

Pitchers

BOSR. Suarez (3.41)

LAAR. Johnson (5.75)

FanDuel lines

MLBOS · LAA

RL

Total

ParlayLab pick

LOW

MED edge

ML / RL / O-U projection

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3 qualifying picks across moneyline, run line, and totals.

How ParlayLab grades the slate

Our methodology engine projects each MLB game using a market-blended model that combines team-level offense, starting-pitcher form, ballpark factors, weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. The engine outputs a moneyline, run-line, and total projection for every matchup and grades each pick HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on the edge versus the FanDuel line.

Player props go through a separate Poisson projection layer per stat — hits, home runs, total bases, RBIs, runs scored, hits+runs+RBIs, and pitcher strikeouts. Each prop projection accounts for the batter-vs-pitcher history, recent rolling form, opposing pitcher ERA / WHIP / K%, ballpark-by-handedness factors, and weather. Props with strong projection-vs-line edges show up bright green; weak ones drop to orange or red.

Free users see the top picks for each market per slate plus the per-game matchup context shown above. The full pick selections, every prop on the board, the prop filter builder, and the full Game Detail + Player Detail breakdowns unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.