MLB PICKS / TUESDAY, MAY 12, 2026

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees (16-8) visit the Baltimore Orioles (9-14) at 6:35 PM ET. Probable starters: W. Warren (3.55) for the Yankees, T. Rogers (6.96) for the Orioles. First-pitch weather: 62°F. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

New York Yankees

Record
16-8
L10
5-5
RPG
5.00
OPS
.770

Probable starter

W. Warren (3.55)

6 prior starts vs this opponent · 4.12 ERA

Home

Baltimore Orioles

Record
9-14
L10
3-7
RPG
4.48
OPS
.710

Probable starter

T. Rogers (6.96)

4 prior starts vs this opponent · 7.78 ERA

Matchup context

6:35 PM ET

Weather
62°F
Wind
Rain
0%
Diff
0.7

Projected score

NYY 6.7 — 3.0 BAL

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

NYY-138

BAL+118

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

NYY-1.5 (+116)

BAL+1.5 (-142)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O8.5 (-115)

U8.5 (-105)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.