MLB PICKS / TUESDAY, AUGUST 11, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins

Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) visit the Miami Marlins (60-59) at 6:40 PM ET. Probable starters: P. Skenes (3.90) for the Pirates, E. Pérez (3.44) for the Marlins. Dome — no weather impact. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with Pro.

Away

Pittsburgh Pirates

Record
58-62
L10
3-7
RPG
5.05
OPS
.748

Probable starter

P. Skenes (3.90)

2 prior starts vs this opponent · 2.43 ERA

Home

Miami Marlins

Record
60-59
L10
5-5
RPG
4.31
OPS
.730

Probable starter

E. Pérez (3.44)

Matchup context

6:40 PM ET

Weather
Dome
Wind
Rain
Diff
-1.8

Projected score

PIT 3.1 — 2.6 MIA

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

PIT-122

MIA+104

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

PIT-1.5 (+140)

MIA+1.5 (-170)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O7.5 (+102)

U7.5 (-124)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with Pro. You're charged when you subscribe — cancel anytime.