MLB PICKS / THURSDAY, JUNE 18, 2026

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets (24-28) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (28-25) at 6:40 PM ET. Probable starters: S. Manaea (4.56) for the Mets, A. Nola (5.87) for the Phillies. First-pitch weather: 86°F, 16 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

New York Mets

Record
24-28
L10
5-5
RPG
4.17
OPS
.688

Probable starter

S. Manaea (4.56)

7 prior starts vs this opponent · 6.25 ERA

Home

Philadelphia Phillies

Record
28-25
L10
5-5
RPG
4.37
OPS
.704

Probable starter

A. Nola (5.87)

14 prior starts vs this opponent · 3.62 ERA

Matchup context

6:40 PM ET

Weather
86°F
Wind
16 mph
Rain
0%
Diff
2.6

Projected score

NYM 6.6 — 5.5 PHI

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

NYM+102

PHI-120

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

NYM-1.5 (+158)

PHI+1.5 (-192)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O9.5 (-124)

U9.5 (+102)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.