MLB PICKS / TUESDAY, JULY 7, 2026

Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles

Chicago Cubs (37-30) visit the Baltimore Orioles (31-37) at 6:35 PM ET. Probable starters: M. Boyd (5.08) for the Cubs, S. Baz (4.19) for the Orioles. First-pitch weather: 75°F, 10 mph wind. ParlayLab grades this matchup against the FanDuel line; the full pick selections unlock with a Pro trial.

Away

Chicago Cubs

Record
37-30
L10
7-3
RPG
5.06
OPS
.747

Probable starter

M. Boyd (5.08)

2 prior starts vs this opponent · 4.43 ERA

Home

Baltimore Orioles

Record
31-37
L10
4-6
RPG
4.57
OPS
.714

Probable starter

S. Baz (4.19)

1 prior start vs this opponent · 21.43 ERA

Matchup context

6:35 PM ET

Weather
75°F
Wind
10 mph
Rain
0%
Diff
0.7

Projected score

CHC 5.1 — 5.0 BAL

Lines & ParlayLab picks

Moneyline · FanDuel

CHC-112

BAL-104

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Run line · FanDuel

CHC-1.5 (+138)

BAL+1.5 (-166)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

Total · FanDuel

O9.5 (+100)

U9.5 (-122)

ParlayLab pick

— · edge —

Pro

How ParlayLab grades this matchup

ParlayLab's methodology engine projects each MLB game with a market-blended model combining team offense (season + L14 rolling RPG and OPS), starting pitcher form (ERA, WHIP, K%, home/road splits), ballpark factors (per-handedness HR and run multipliers), weather (wind direction relative to center field, temperature, precipitation), bullpen fatigue, and Statcast contact quality. Outputs are a moneyline, run-line, and total projection — each graded HIGH / MED / LOW confidence based on edge versus the FanDuel line.

Free users see the top picks for each market plus the full matchup context shown above. The actual selections (which side to bet ML, RL, total) unlock with a free 7-day Pro trial. No card charged for the first week, cancel anytime.